سال انتشار: ۱۳۹۰

محل انتشار: ششمین کنفرانس بین المللی زلزله شناسی و مهندسی زلزله

تعداد صفحات: ۶

نویسنده(ها):

V.V Prelov – Mechanical Engineering Research Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences RUSSIA 101990 Moscow, M.Kharitonievskiy per.,4

چکیده:

We suppose that all geo-signals over the seismic stations reflect the processes of the fatal open system. We state that every natural catastrophe has to have a set of precursors – by means of relationships at both space and time scales while the self-organization. The problem is, by means of that, to create the logical chain to burning and realizing of such precursors and mainshocks their-selves as well as to develop the tool to filter the false events. It was shown that restricted data series, especially processed, like Kamchatka’s EQs Catalogue and, for example, Iranian EQs Catalogue can provide us with a set of unexpected statistical results on probabilities and periods for the EQs given magnitude to be realized. Some of them are visualized in the paper