سال انتشار: ۱۳۸۴

محل انتشار: سمپوزیوم برآورد عدم قطعیت در مهندسی سد

تعداد صفحات: ۱۱

نویسنده(ها):

Ch. OOSTHUIZEN – Director, Civil Design Department of Water Affairs and Forestry, Pretoria, SOUTH AFRICA

چکیده:

An overview is given of the developments in the Republic of South Africa with regard to:− Simple methods used to qualify and quantify uncertainties at existing dams; − Evaluation of the associated impact and risk; − Methods used to present information to decision-makers. Conclusions are drawn from the practical experience of more than 100 evaluations during the past 20 years.